Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.374150 0.497650 0.640189 0.814418 1.019188 1.249876 1.527024
2025-11-02 0.208545 0.353938 0.548285 0.815596 1.162373 1.586290 2.132623
2025-11-09 0.106141 0.241346 0.453921 0.782315 1.247840 1.857069 2.686803
2025-11-16 0.061627 0.189111 0.422386 0.819538 1.422444 2.251596 3.425067
2025-11-23 0.031388 0.140287 0.376767 0.821067 1.540659 2.575481 4.089719
2025-11-30 0.018555 0.118811 0.370660 0.881175 1.747768 3.033390 4.957640
2025-12-07 0.009644 0.096947 0.354421 0.917855 1.918271 3.445883 5.779708
2025-12-14 0.004043 0.075469 0.328957 0.930162 2.046710 3.799992 6.531239
2025-12-21 0.001085 0.054668 0.293641 0.913710 2.121376 4.072900 7.173027
2025-12-28 0.000221 0.042610 0.275917 0.928727 2.249362 4.431451 7.949921
2026-01-04 0.000008 0.031808 0.254618 0.930127 2.350404 4.749426 8.674345
2026-01-11 NaN 0.021013 0.223021 0.898848 2.385198 4.959482 9.240153
2026-01-18 NaN 0.013441 0.196627 0.874937 2.433737 5.198415 9.865947
2026-01-25 NaN 0.009390 0.183250 0.882364 2.544584 5.546128 10.671174
2026-02-01 NaN 0.005175 0.158607 0.850272 2.570381 5.749240 11.255639
2026-02-08 NaN 0.004047 0.158055 0.891318 2.752946 6.229438 12.290097
2026-02-15 NaN 0.002449 0.146467 0.893766 2.851794 6.566104 13.103435
2026-02-22 NaN 0.002167 0.152750 0.957930 3.090388 7.156976 14.337172
2026-03-01 NaN 0.001603 0.151919 0.997022 3.275058 7.656773 15.433482
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000947 0.144392 1.010176 3.401573 8.055636 16.373831
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000376 0.129907 0.992808 3.455937 8.324826 17.107579
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000176 0.124336 1.008747 3.588690 8.740364 18.088606
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000052 0.115922 1.010246 3.686360 9.092996 18.971090